Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 2090.722206 2277.556624 2468.163976 2676.878256 2898.698740 3127.120686 3379.826886
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 1815.878278 2093.435652 2388.411213 2724.103385 3094.382365 3489.196047 3940.833747
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 1613.152501 1941.018929 2300.251347 2720.740664 3197.041687 3717.455482 4326.629422
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1442.448012 1801.646284 2205.717315 2690.135198 3251.170278 3876.613559 4622.543517
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1336.205115 1724.033077 2170.337562 2716.367199 3360.638782 4090.927172 4975.329827
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1232.110322 1639.275270 2117.924298 2714.641132 3430.806732 4254.903177 5266.690115
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1169.629672 1599.087393 2113.504824 2765.391884 3559.320219 4484.703654 5634.096393
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1080.599964 1519.452437 2055.328163 2745.761439 3599.089053 4606.488718 5872.153561
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1039.191388 1496.727098 2064.612076 2806.552457 3734.833401 4842.338664 6246.895835
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 982.354828 1450.180148 2040.593357 2822.909861 3813.794187 5008.464801 6537.699403
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 924.805004 1399.075073 2007.551639 2824.987414 3872.752242 5148.836219 6796.864840
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 836.307231 1301.342883 1909.294515 2738.852144 3816.441669 5143.698381 6874.745931
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 820.806870 1303.649529 1943.512621 2826.407704 3984.205012 5421.615983 7309.300000
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 791.841746 1285.544271 1949.337023 2876.115716 4103.617562 5640.247994 7672.742000
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 745.970889 1240.772691 1916.697720 2872.605856 4152.379189 5768.767143 7923.188028
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 693.843700 1184.009968 1864.872063 2840.712882 4161.767270 5845.606838 8107.545277
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 665.188041 1160.133647 1857.413219 2868.048685 4248.926290 6022.382832 8420.102617
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 629.241634 1123.328614 1829.928687 2866.250069 4296.016057 6146.788314 8665.813869
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 612.447782 1114.740877 1842.047072 2919.129268 4416.920543 6368.181842 9038.351855
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 575.053856 1072.201723 1803.188599 2898.676686 4436.813302 6456.235663 9237.759491
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 563.929633 1070.377194 1823.496926 2962.009039 4571.783453 6697.143266 9638.365945
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 540.651296 1047.845732 1812.068219 2979.047937 4642.424199 6852.714705 9927.925808
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 514.784062 1019.738648 1791.072606 2981.211978 4691.690224 6979.545168 10180.105214